Matchup Machine

Nathaniel Lowe

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matchup for Logan Allen

289th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Nathaniel Lowe

43rd out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Lowe
10

Model Prediction

Nathaniel Lowe has a 40.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.1% higher than Lowe's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.0%24.2%3.2%5.4%15.7%15.7%18.8%
Lowe+5.1+1.4+0.4+0.5+0.5+3.6-5.2
Allen+2.9-0.3-0.6-0.5+0.9+3.2+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Nathaniel Lowe is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lowe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
19%
   Cutter (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -4.2% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.6% 41%         In Play -2.9% +2.6% 39%         On Base +6.1% +1.5% 31%         Hit +2.7% -0.1% 14%         Single +0.9% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years