matchup for Hunter Greene
3
Nathaniel Lowe has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 4.2% lower than Lowe's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Greene.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.2% | 18.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 30.1% |
| Lowe | -4.2 | -3.9 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -3.2 | -0.4 | +4.5 |
| Greene | +4.3 | +1.6 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +1.4 | +2.7 | -0.9 |
Nathaniel Lowe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lowe has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
55%
Slider (R)
38%
14% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
32% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
32%
+29%
Large Break
37%
+16%
Medium Ride
27%
+14%
Breaking (R)
39%
+8%
14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
-0.5%
+8.0%
3%
Walk
+3.5%
+0.5%
41%
In Play
-2.9%
-8.5%
39%
On Base
+6.1%
-6.2%
31%
Hit
+2.7%
-6.7%
14%
Single
+0.9%
-3.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.4%
-3.0%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
-0.3%
40.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. Hunter Greene induces Standard Grounders at a 29.6% rate, which is 4.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
+5.8%
-4.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.8%
-2.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-1.1%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.0%
-4.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.0%
-1.8%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.4%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.4%
+1.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-5.0%
+8.6%
3%
Pop up
-1.4%
+4.5%
31.0% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 20.2% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.7%
+1.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.0%
+2.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.3%
+1.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.6%
-1.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+6.7%
-4.1%
8.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+5.1%
-2.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.8%
-1.3%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.1%
-4.8%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.8%
-3.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.7%
-3.8%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.3%
+2.1%
7%
39 to 50°
-2.6%
+5.8%
8%
Above 50°
-2.3%
+7.9%
Nathaniel Lowe has 3 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.045 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-04-27 | Groundout | 13% | 86% | ||
| 2024-04-27 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-27 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
