Matchup Machine

Nathaniel Lowe

Worst 5% of matchups for Tanner Houck

Tanner Houck

Best 47% of matchups for Nathaniel Lowe

Extreme advantage for Lowe

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.0%	4.3%	13.1%	14.2%	16.3%
MLB (+/-)	+0.2	+0.1	-0.8	+4.5	-8.9
Lowe	+0.2	+0.0	-0.9	+0.4	-4.2
Houck	+0.1	-0.0	+0.1	+3.9	-5.3

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.0%

4.3%

13.1%

14.2%

16.3%

MLB (+/-)

+0.2

+0.1

-0.8

+4.5

-8.9

Lowe

+0.2

+0.0

-0.9

+0.4

-4.2

Houck

+0.1

-0.0

+0.1

+3.9

-5.3

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.24	0.00	0.10	0.14			.081

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Lineout		10%	5%	85%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2022-05-15	Groundout			9%	91%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	47%	37	LHB vs RHP	51	52%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

47%

LHB vs RHP

52%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
47%	22	Fastball	29	50%
22%	59	Breaking	66	38%
7%	47	Offspeed	92	11%	⭐
		------------------
52%	65	Slider	69	38%
44%	48	Sinker	54	30%
46%	68	Cutter	64	11%
30%	11	Splitter	100	11%	⭐⭐
48%	1	Four-Seam FB	26	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

47%

Fastball

50%

22%

Breaking

38%

Offspeed

11%

⭐

------------------

52%

Slider

38%

44%

Sinker

30%

46%

Cutter

11%

30%

Splitter

100

11%

⭐⭐

48%

Four-Seam FB

10%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
66%	68	Bottom of zone	45	16%
59%	34	Away / Arm Side	24	12%
73%	16	Top of zone	38	8%
72%	64	In / Glove Side	59	7%
80%	27	Middle	42	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

66%

Bottom of zone

16%

59%

Away / Arm Side

12%

73%

Top of zone

72%

In / Glove Side

80%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
31%	45	Below the zone	82	43%
19%	52	Away / Arm Side	29	31%
32%	47	In / Glove Side	98	23%	⭐
35%	4	Above the zone	8	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

31%

Below the zone

43%

19%

Away / Arm Side

31%

32%

In / Glove Side

23%

⭐

35%

Above the zone

14%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	52%	25	Batter Behind	51	29%
	59%	57	2 Strikes	55	28%
	49%	70	Batter Ahead	43	27%
	29%	0	First Pitch	44	27%
⭐	58%	101	3 Balls	45	8%
⭐⭐	69%	119	Full Count	50	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

Batter Behind

29%

59%

2 Strikes

28%

49%

Batter Ahead

27%

29%

First Pitch

27%

⭐

58%

101

3 Balls

⭐⭐

69%

119

Full Count