Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nathaniel Lowe

matchup for Carson Fulmer

381st out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Nathaniel Lowe

155th out of 567 (Best 28%)

Extreme advantage for Lowe

Nathaniel Lowe has a 36.6% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.7% higher than Lowe's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.6%	23.7%	3.0%	5.4%	15.2%	13.0%	19.8%
Lowe	+1.7	+0.9	+0.3	+0.6	+0.0	+0.9	-4.2
Fulmer	+3.2	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	+0.1	+3.3	-1.8

Nathaniel Lowe is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lowe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.5% -2.6% 3%

Walk +3.5% +2.5% 41%

In Play -2.9% +0.1% 39%

On Base +6.1% +3.9% 31%

Hit +2.7% +1.4% 14%

Single +0.9% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.1%

40.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.8% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% +3.9% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -2.4%

31.0% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% +0.6%

8.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.1% +1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.8% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% +2.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.8% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -3.3% +0.0% 7%

39 to 50° -2.6% +2.2% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% -1.6%

Nathaniel Lowe has 3 plate appearances against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.82	0.00	0.00	0.82			0.273

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-08	Single			82%	18%
2024-07-08	Strikeout
2024-05-18	Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe