Matchup Machine

Nathaniel Lowe

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matchup for Martin Perez

274th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Nathaniel Lowe

200th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Strong advantage for Lowe
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Model Prediction

Nathaniel Lowe has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Lowe's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.3%23.2%2.9%4.9%15.4%13.1%20.0%
Lowe+1.4+0.4+0.2+0.1+0.2+0.9-4.1
Perez+1.7-2.1-0.1-0.4-1.5+3.7+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Nathaniel Lowe is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lowe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a D+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -6.1% 3%         Walk +3.5% -0.3% 41%         In Play -2.9% +6.4% 39%         On Base +6.1% +5.9% 31%         Hit +2.7% +6.3% 14%         Single +0.9% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years