Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nathaniel Lowe

matchup for Chris Sale

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Chris Sale

matchup for Nathaniel Lowe

533rd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Moderate advantage for Sale

Nathaniel Lowe has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 4.5% lower than Lowe's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Sale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	20.7%	1.9%	4.4%	14.4%	9.7%	35.3%
Lowe	-4.5	-2.1	-0.9	-0.4	-0.8	-2.4	+11.3
Sale	+0.9	-1.5	-0.1	-1.4	0.0	+2.4	+3.8

Nathaniel Lowe is worse vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lowe has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

39%

Slider (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

15%

8% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

46% of Chris Sale's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 46%

+30%

Large Drop 28%

+23%

Extreme Slow Velo 22%

+13%

Breaking (L) 38%

+8%

14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.5% +11.2% 3%

Walk +3.5% -2.1% 41%

In Play -2.9% -9.1% 39%

On Base +6.1% -4.6% 31%

Hit +2.7% -2.5% 14%

Single +0.9% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

40.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. Chris Sale induces Standard Grounders at a 36.5% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.8% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% -0.9% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -0.5%

31.0% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% +2.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% -2.8%

8.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Chris Sale are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%