Matchup Machine

      Brendan Rodgers

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      matchup for Daniel Palencia

      110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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      Daniel Palencia

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      matchup for Brendan Rodgers

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Leans in favor of Palencia
      2

      Model Prediction

      Brendan Rodgers has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 1.6% higher than Rodgers's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Palencia.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Brendan Rodgers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rodgers has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Brendan Rodgers has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      61%
         Slider (R)
      29%
         Sinker (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.7% of Brendan Rodgers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +4.4% 5%         Walk -1.9% +3.4% 40%         In Play 0.0% -7.8% 39%         On Base +2.9% -0.7% 31%         Hit +4.8% -4.2% 14%         Single +2.4% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.6%

      History

      Brendan Rodgers has 1 plate appearance against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.220.000.000.220.220
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-12Forceout22%78%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.