Matchup Machine

Brendan Rodgers

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matchup for Tanner Houck

251st out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Brendan Rodgers

249th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Rodgers
2

Model Prediction

Brendan Rodgers has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.0% higher than Rodgers's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.5%22.0%2.0%3.6%16.4%10.5%19.3%
Rodgers+1.0-1.0-0.4-1.1+0.5+2.0-6.7
Houck+0.8-0.1-0.1-0.8+0.8+0.9-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Brendan Rodgers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rodgers has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Brendan Rodgers has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Brendan Rodgers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.9% +0.2% 40%         In Play 0.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base +2.9% +0.4% 31%         Hit +4.8% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.8% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.9%

History

Brendan Rodgers has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.390.020.200.170.193
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-22Groundout
2024-07-22Walk
2024-07-22Lineout2%20%17%61%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.