Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Stephenson

matchup for Ryan Weathers

273rd out of 436 (Worst 38%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for T. Stephenson

340th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Leans in favor of Weathers

Tyler Stephenson has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.2% higher than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	22.1%	1.8%	6.0%	14.4%	9.7%	28.1%
Stephenson	+0.2	+0.9	-0.6	+0.7	+0.8	-0.8	+1.5
Weathers	+2.0	+0.6	-0.3	+0.4	+0.5	+1.4	+3.3

Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Stephenson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% -2.1% 4%

Walk +1.5% -0.6% 40%

In Play -2.1% +2.7% 39%

On Base +0.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.3% +1.5% 14%

Single -0.9% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

40.3% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +1.2%

25.1% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% +1.1%

10.7% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%