Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Stephenson

matchup for Slade Cecconi

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Slade Cecconi

matchup for T. Stephenson

98th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Strong advantage for Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 1.0% higher than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	25.1%	2.7%	7.3%	15.0%	7.6%	21.6%
Stephenson	+1.0	+3.9	+0.3	+2.1	+1.5	-2.9	-5.0
Cecconi	+1.0	-0.3	-0.6	+1.3	-0.9	+1.3	-0.4

Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Stephenson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

25%

Changeup (R)

10%

Curve (R)

15% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

41% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 41%

+20%

Medium Ride 24%

+11%

Fast Velo 24%

+9%

15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% -4.8% 4%

Walk +1.5% -4.3% 40%

In Play -2.1% +9.0% 39%

On Base +0.2% -1.5% 31%

Hit -1.3% +2.8% 14%

Single -0.9% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +1.4%

40.3% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Slade Cecconi induces Standard Grounders at a 25.7% rate, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% -8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% -1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% +5.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% +3.1% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +2.7%

25.1% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 22.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +3.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% +1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -1.5%

10.7% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.8% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.2% -6.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.6% -1.8% 18%

7 to 18° +1.4% +4.6% 15%

19 to 28° -2.4% -0.9% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +2.1% 8%

Above 50° -3.5% +4.4%

Tyler Stephenson has 5 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	3	0	1	2	0	0	0.600
Expected From Contact →			1.98	0.77	0.19	1.01			0.395

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-14	Single		3%	9%	88%
2024-05-14	Double	77%	15%	1%	7%
2024-05-14	Groundout			32%	67%
2023-08-27	Groundout			25%	75%
2023-08-27	Single			34%	65%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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