Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Stephenson

matchup for Logan Webb

177th out of 436 (Best 41%)

Logan Webb

matchup for T. Stephenson

330th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.3% higher than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	22.5%	2.1%	5.0%	15.3%	9.1%	24.9%
Stephenson	-0.3	+1.2	-0.3	-0.3	+1.9	-1.5	-1.9
Webb	-0.9	-1.9	-0.3	+0.1	-1.8	+1.0	+1.9

Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stephenson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% -0.8% 4%

Walk +1.5% -2.4% 40%

In Play -2.1% +3.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% +1.6% 31%

Hit -1.3% +4.0% 14%

Single -1.0% +2.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% +2.5% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -1.3%

40.5% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.1% higher than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 45.7% rate, which is 11.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.1% +11.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -5.9% -4.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% -6.4% 3%

Pop up -1.6% -1.5%

25.1% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% -2.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.3% 0.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% +3.7%

10.7% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 5.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.9% +10.4% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.0% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +1.7% +1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.3% +2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.5% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.7% -5.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% -2.4% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% -4.9%

Tyler Stephenson has 5 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.45	0.00	0.01	1.43			0.290

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-10	Forceout			12%	88%
2024-05-10	Single			54%	45%
2024-05-10	Strikeout
2023-07-17	Groundout			64%	36%
2023-07-17	Groundout			14%	86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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