Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Stephenson

matchup for Jack Flaherty

146th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for T. Stephenson

181st out of 567 (Best 33%)

Moderate advantage for Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.7% higher than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	21.4%	3.0%	5.2%	13.3%	12.0%	26.6%
Stephenson	+1.7	+0.2	+0.6	-0.1	-0.2	+1.5	0.0
Flaherty	-0.8	-1.8	-0.6	+0.0	-1.2	+1.0	+3.8

Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Stephenson has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% +5.8% 4%

Walk +1.5% -1.5% 40%

In Play -2.1% -4.3% 39%

On Base +0.2% -2.0% 31%

Hit -1.3% -0.5% 14%

Single -0.9% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.2%

40.3% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.8%

25.1% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% -2.8%

10.7% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%