Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Stephenson

matchup for Dylan Cease

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Dylan Cease

matchup for T. Stephenson

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Cease

Tyler Stephenson has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 0.5% lower than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Cease.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	19.0%	2.0%	4.1%	12.8%	12.2%	29.8%
Stephenson	-0.5	-2.2	-0.4	-1.1	-0.7	+1.7	+3.2
Cease	+1.3	-0.7	-0.1	-0.2	-0.3	+2.0	+3.3

Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stephenson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

43%

4-Seam (R)

42%

Kn-Curve (R)

12%

23% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

55% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Stephenson has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 55%

+24%

Minimal Break 30%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 23%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.6% +6.3% 4%

Walk +1.5% +1.0% 40%

In Play -2.1% -7.3% 39%

On Base +0.2% -3.9% 31%

Hit -1.3% -4.8% 14%

Single -0.9% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +0.2% -0.3%

40.3% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.9% -3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.2% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -5.8% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -1.6% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.4% -1.7% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +1.5%

25.1% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.8% +1.0%

10.7% of Tyler Stephenson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%