Matchup Machine

      Tyler Stephenson

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      matchup for Ross Stripling

      231st out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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      Ross Stripling

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      matchup for T. Stephenson

      31st out of 564 (Best 6%)

      Extreme advantage for Stephenson
      9

      Model Prediction

      Tyler Stephenson has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 3.3% higher than Stephenson's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Stripling.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Tyler Stephenson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stephenson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Tyler Stephenson has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      37%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Changeup (R)
      19%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      16%
         Sinker (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      15.0% of Tyler Stephenson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.6% +3.2% 4%         Walk +1.5% -2.9% 40%         In Play -2.1% -0.3% 39%         On Base +0.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit -1.3% -0.9% 14%         Single -0.9% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.1%

      History

      Tyler Stephenson has 2 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.650.000.000.650.327
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-07-19Single65%35%
      2023-07-19Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.