Matchup Machine

Romy Gonzalez

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

6th out of 436 (Best 2%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Romy Gonzalez

183rd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Moderate advantage for Fulmer
4

Model Prediction

Romy Gonzalez has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 0.9% higher than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%22.5%2.7%5.5%14.3%4.8%29.1%
Gonzalez+0.9+1.1+0.3+0.8+0.0-0.2-2.3
Fulmer-6.1-1.3-0.40.0-0.8-4.8+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Romy Gonzalez is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gonzalez has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Romy Gonzalez has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +7.2% -2.6% 6%         Walk -3.6% +2.5% 43%         In Play -3.6% +0.1% 39%         On Base -0.2% +3.9% 31%         Hit +3.5% +1.4% 14%         Single +1.5% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years