Matchup Machine

Romy Gonzalez

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matchup for Austin Gomber

50th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Romy Gonzalez

57th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Leans in favor of Gonzalez
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Model Prediction

Romy Gonzalez has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.5% higher than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%25.2%2.8%6.5%15.9%3.7%23.1%
Gonzalez+2.5+3.9+0.4+1.8+1.6-1.4-8.2
Gomber-2.8-0.7-0.5-0.1+0.0-2.2+5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Romy Gonzalez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Gonzalez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Romy Gonzalez has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +7.2% -3.3% 6%         Walk -3.6% -2.5% 43%         In Play -3.6% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.5% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.5% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +0.3%

History

Romy Gonzalez has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.680.000.040.640.338
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-22Strikeout
2024-07-22Single4%64%32%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.