Matchup Machine

Romy Gonzalez

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

8th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Romy Gonzalez

52nd out of 567 (Best 10%)

Leans in favor of Gonzalez
2

Model Prediction

Romy Gonzalez has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.1% higher than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%27.2%2.2%5.0%20.0%4.4%24.2%
Gonzalez+5.1+5.8-0.2+0.3+5.7-0.6-7.2
Stroman-6.1-1.7-0.5-0.9-0.3-4.4+6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Romy Gonzalez is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gonzalez has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Romy Gonzalez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +7.2% -3.1% 6%         Walk -3.6% -0.8% 43%         In Play -3.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% +3.0% 31%         Hit +3.5% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.5% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years