Matchup Machine

Romy Gonzalez

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

18th out of 436 (Best 5%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Romy Gonzalez

392nd out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Strong advantage for Mantiply
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Model Prediction

Romy Gonzalez has a 23.6% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 2.8% lower than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.6%20.1%2.0%5.1%13.0%3.5%28.1%
Gonzalez-2.8-1.3-0.4+0.4-1.3-1.5-3.3
Mantiply-4.6-2.9-0.1-0.4-2.5-1.7+5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Romy Gonzalez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Gonzalez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Romy Gonzalez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +7.2% +1.1% 6%         Walk -3.6% -3.1% 43%         In Play -3.6% +2.0% 39%         On Base -0.2% -2.8% 31%         Hit +3.5% +0.3% 14%         Single +1.5% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.1%

History

Romy Gonzalez has 2 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.760.000.000.750.378
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-25Single75%24%
2024-08-23Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.