Romy Gonzalez has a 23.6% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 2.8% lower than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Mantiply.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 23.6% | 20.1% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 28.1% |
Gonzalez | -2.8 | -1.3 | -0.4 | +0.4 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
Mantiply | -4.6 | -2.9 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -2.5 | -1.7 | +5.1 |
Romy Gonzalez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Gonzalez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Romy Gonzalez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Romy Gonzalez has 2 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.378 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-25 | Single | 75% | 24% | ||
2024-08-23 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.