Matchup Machine

Romy Gonzalez

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

51st out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Romy Gonzalez

97th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Leans in favor of Anderson
2

Model Prediction

Romy Gonzalez has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.7% higher than Gonzalez's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%23.3%2.9%5.2%15.2%5.8%27.3%
Gonzalez+2.7+1.9+0.5+0.5+1.0+0.7-4.0
Anderson-4.6+1.10.00.0+1.1-5.7+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Romy Gonzalez is much better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gonzalez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Romy Gonzalez has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

19.6% of Romy Gonzalez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +7.2% -1.9% 6%         Walk -3.6% -1.0% 43%         In Play -3.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.5% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.2%

History

Romy Gonzalez has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010100.500
Expected From Contact →0.990.000.730.260.495
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-30Double73%26%1%
2023-05-30Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.