Matchup Machine

Matt Vierling

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

154th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Matt Vierling

187th out of 567 (Best 34%)

Moderate advantage for Vierling
4

Model Prediction

Matt Vierling has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.9% higher than Vierling's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%22.7%1.5%4.8%16.4%12.3%21.8%
Vierling+1.9+0.8+0.1+0.0+0.7+1.1-0.7
Fulmer+1.6-1.1-1.6-0.8+1.2+2.7+0.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Vierling is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Vierling has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Matt Vierling has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Matt Vierling's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% -2.6% 4%         Walk +1.2% +2.5% 40%         In Play -0.3% +0.1% 39%         On Base +0.5% +3.9% 31%         Hit -0.7% +1.4% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years