Matchup Machine

Matt Vierling

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

185th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Matt Vierling

19th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Vierling
9

Model Prediction

Matt Vierling has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.9% higher than Vierling's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%28.5%1.4%5.3%21.8%10.4%17.5%
Vierling+5.9+6.70.0+0.6+6.1-0.8-5.0
Stroman+1.3-0.4-1.3-0.5+1.5+1.7-0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Vierling is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vierling has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Matt Vierling has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Matt Vierling's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% -3.1% 4%         Walk +1.2% -0.8% 40%         In Play -0.3% +3.9% 39%         On Base +0.5% +3.0% 31%         Hit -0.7% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.1%

History

Matt Vierling has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-18Strikeout
2024-08-18Flyout
2024-08-18Lineout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.