Matchup Machine

Trent Grisham

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matchup for Penn Murfee

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Penn Murfee

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matchup for Trent Grisham

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Murfee
2

Model Prediction

Trent Grisham has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 0.1% higher than Grisham's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Murfee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%15.6%2.3%3.4%9.9%17.2%32.3%
Grisham-0.1-3.5-0.4-1.0-2.0+3.4+3.9
Murfee+2.9-4.1-0.2-0.8-3.1+7.0+4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Trent Grisham is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Grisham has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Trent Grisham has an F grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   4-Seam (R)
41%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% +8.1% 2%         Walk +4.3% -1.7% 43%         In Play -8.3% -6.4% 39%         On Base -4.9% -4.8% 31%         Hit -9.2% -3.1% 14%         Single -5.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -4.8% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -3.0%

History

Trent Grisham has 1 plate appearance against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.250.000.020.220.248
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-14Lineout2%22%75%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.