Matchup Machine

Trent Grisham

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matchup for Dean Kremer

321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for Trent Grisham

307th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Grisham
2

Model Prediction

Trent Grisham has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.9% higher than Grisham's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%17.7%2.8%4.1%10.8%16.1%29.4%
Grisham+0.9-1.4+0.0-0.3-1.1+2.3+1.0
Kremer+3.6-2.8-0.1-0.2-2.5+6.5+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Trent Grisham is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Grisham has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Trent Grisham has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -0.3% 2%         Walk +4.3% +0.8% 43%         In Play -8.3% -0.4% 39%         On Base -4.9% +1.3% 31%         Hit -9.2% +0.6% 14%         Single -5.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -4.8% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.8%

History

Trent Grisham has 6 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual642101020.500
Expected From Contact →1.330.940.050.340.332
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-14Single27%73%
2024-07-14Home Run94%4%
2024-04-30Groundout6%94%
2024-04-30Walk
2023-08-16Flyout100%
2023-08-16Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.