Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trent Grisham

matchup for Ryan Feltner

99th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for Trent Grisham

283rd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Grisham

Trent Grisham has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 0.0% higher than Grisham's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	19.9%	2.6%	5.0%	12.2%	13.0%	26.7%
Grisham	0.0	+0.8	-0.1	+0.6	+0.3	-0.8	-1.7
Feltner	-0.5	-4.9	-0.3	-1.0	-3.6	+4.4	+6.5

Trent Grisham is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Grisham has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Trent Grisham has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Trent Grisham has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Trent Grisham has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Ryan Feltner throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Trent Grisham has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

+1%

+3%

-3%

-2%

-1%

+0%

+3%

+2%

-1%

-2%

16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% -5.1% 2%

Walk +4.3% 0.0% 43%

In Play -8.3% +5.1% 39%

On Base -4.9% +5.3% 31%

Hit -9.2% +5.3% 14%

Single -5.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -4.8% +2.7% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.1%

29.0% of Trent Grisham's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.4% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -0.8% 3%

Pop up +2.2% +1.6%

25.4% of Trent Grisham's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.1% -4.2%

13.0% of Trent Grisham's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.3% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.3% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.3% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.6% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° -1.0% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +5.0%

Trent Grisham has 6 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with 2 home runs and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	2	0	0	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			2.01	0.94	0.25	0.82			0.335

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Flyout				100%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2022-08-02	Lineout			80%	20%
2022-08-02	Home Run	32%	15%		52%
2022-06-11	Home Run	61%	8%	2%	29%
2022-06-11	Flyout		2%		98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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