Matchup Machine

Trent Grisham

Worst 21% of matchups for Ryan Feltner

Ryan Feltner

Best 8% of matchups for Trent Grisham

Strong advantage for Grisham

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.4%	3.9%	12.0%	19.2%	23.7%
MLB (+/-)	-0.4	-0.3	-1.9	+9.4	-1.5
Grisham	+0.0	0.0	+0.4	+5.0	-5.4
Feltner	-0.4	-0.2	-2.4	+6.4	+2.4

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.4%

3.9%

12.0%

19.2%

23.7%

MLB (+/-)

-0.4

-0.3

-1.9

+9.4

-1.5

Grisham

+0.0

0.0

+0.4

+5.0

-5.4

Feltner

-0.4

-0.2

-2.4

+6.4

+2.4

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	2	0	0	1	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.97	0.96	0.22	0.79			.329

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Flyout				100%
2022-08-02	Lineout			77%	22%
2022-08-02	Home Run	27%	15%		57%
2022-06-11	Flyout		2%		98%
2022-06-11	Home Run	69%	4%		26%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	44%	3	LHB vs RHP	30	54%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

44%

LHB vs RHP

54%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
44%	19	Fastball	47	49%
18%	11	Breaking	37	37%
13%	11	Offspeed	42	14%
		------------------
36%	7	Slider	47	29%
45%	46	Four-Seam FB	42	27%
44%	-13	Sinker	66	20%	⭐
51%	11	Changeup	41	14%
35%	24	Curveball	15	8%
42%	14	Cutter	62	2%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

44%

Fastball

49%

18%

Breaking

37%

13%

Offspeed

14%

------------------

36%

Slider

29%

45%

Four-Seam FB

27%

44%

-13

Sinker

20%

⭐

51%

Changeup

14%

35%

Curveball

42%

Cutter

⭐

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
55%	20	Top of zone	60	14%
56%	-17	In / Glove Side	44	12%
64%	21	Bottom of zone	63	11%	⭐
58%	42	Away / Arm Side	45	10%
76%	-2	Middle	57	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

55%

Top of zone

14%

56%

-17

In / Glove Side

12%

64%

Bottom of zone

11%

⭐

58%

Away / Arm Side

10%

76%

-2

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
39%	18	Below the zone	14	29%
33%	20	In / Glove Side	36	27%
13%	47	Above the zone	18	27%
22%	12	Away / Arm Side	2	21%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

39%

Below the zone

29%

33%

In / Glove Side

27%

13%

Above the zone

27%

22%

Away / Arm Side

21%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
57%	2	2 Strikes	24	29%
47%	-23	Batter Behind	26	29%
46%	31	Batter Ahead	54	28%
24%	36	First Pitch	43	25%
54%	39	3 Balls	63	10%
65%	53	Full Count	46	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

57%

2 Strikes

29%

47%

-23

Batter Behind

29%

46%

Batter Ahead

28%

24%

First Pitch

25%

54%

3 Balls

10%

65%

Full Count