Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trent Grisham

matchup for Logan Webb

89th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Trent Grisham

413th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Webb

Trent Grisham has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.2% lower than Grisham's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	19.6%	2.2%	3.9%	13.4%	11.1%	27.0%
Grisham	-2.2	+0.5	-0.5	-0.5	+1.5	-2.7	-1.4
Webb	-1.5	-5.2	-0.2	-1.3	-3.7	+3.7	+5.0

Trent Grisham is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Grisham has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Trent Grisham has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Trent Grisham has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Trent Grisham has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Logan Webb throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Trent Grisham has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

-3%

-2%

-3%

-5%

-1%

+7%

+4%

+6%

-2%

+2%

+0%

+1%

+0%

-2%

-1%

16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% -0.8% 2%

Walk +4.3% -2.4% 43%

In Play -8.3% +3.2% 39%

On Base -4.9% +1.6% 31%

Hit -9.2% +4.0% 14%

Single -5.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -4.8% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

29.0% of Trent Grisham's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.4% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.4% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.0% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +2.2% -1.4%

25.4% of Trent Grisham's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.9% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.1% +3.6%

13.0% of Trent Grisham's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.3% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.3% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.3% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.3% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.3% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +1.6% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.0% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% -5.1%

Trent Grisham has 12 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with 3 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	2	0	0	2	3	0	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.67	0.19	0.25	1.23			0.139

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-25	Groundout			37%	63%
2023-09-25	Strikeout
2023-09-25	Strikeout
2022-08-30	Lineout		4%	2%	94%
2022-08-30	Single			13%	87%
2022-07-07	Lineout		3%	2%	95%
2022-07-07	Single			51%	49%
2022-07-07	Flyout		13%		86%
2022-04-13	Pop Out			14%	86%
2022-04-13	Groundout			4%	96%
2022-04-13	Flyout	18%	4%		78%
2022-04-13	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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