Matchup Machine

      Trent Grisham

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      matchup for Austin Gomber

      377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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      Austin Gomber

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      matchup for Trent Grisham

      37th out of 567 (Best 7%)

      Extreme advantage for Grisham
      9

      Model Prediction

      Trent Grisham has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.1% higher than Grisham's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Gomber.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Trent Grisham is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Grisham has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Trent Grisham has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      42%
         Slider (L)
      21%
         Kn-Curve (L)
      18%
         Changeup (L)
      18%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -3.3% 2%         Walk +4.3% -2.5% 43%         In Play -8.3% +5.9% 39%         On Base -4.9% +0.6% 31%         Hit -9.2% +3.1% 14%         Single -5.0% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -4.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.3%

      History

      Trent Grisham has 7 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with 2 home runs and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual772200100.286
      Expected From Contact →1.891.580.270.040.270
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-07-31Sac Bunt
      2023-07-31Strikeout
      2023-06-09Home Run73%9%18%
      2023-06-09Flyout3%1%96%
      2023-04-02Bunt Groundout
      2023-04-02Home Run83%15%1%
      2022-08-02Groundout2%3%95%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.