Matchup Machine

Trent Grisham

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Trent Grisham

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Grisham
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Model Prediction

Trent Grisham has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 1.2% higher than Grisham's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%20.5%3.3%4.5%12.7%13.7%21.5%
Grisham+1.2+1.4+0.5+0.1+0.8-0.2-6.9
Lyles+0.5-3.8-0.1-1.4-2.3+4.2+3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Trent Grisham is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Grisham has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Trent Grisham has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Trent Grisham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% +0.8% 2%         Walk +4.3% -2.3% 43%         In Play -8.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -4.9% -4.1% 31%         Hit -9.2% -1.7% 14%         Single -5.0% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -4.8% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years