Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Fortes

matchup for Roki Sasaki

209th out of 436 (Best 49%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Nick Fortes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Fortes

Nick Fortes has a 34.9% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.4% higher than Fortes's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.9%	23.0%	2.3%	6.6%	14.1%	11.9%	15.0%
Fortes	+4.4	-0.4	+0.2	+1.7	-2.2	+4.8	-0.8
Sasaki	-2.2	+0.4	-0.7	+0.4	+0.7	-2.6	-7.6

Nick Fortes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Fortes has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Nick Fortes has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% -4.7% 6%

Walk -4.2% +27.6% 34%

In Play +14.0% -23.0% 39%

On Base -3.2% +14.9% 31%

Hit +1.0% -12.8% 14%

Single +1.3% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -6.7% 3%

Home Run -1.8% -3.1%

32.3% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.8% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +5.3% +15.2%

21.1% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.0% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.1% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.2% -24.3%

7.2% of Nick Fortes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%