Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Fortes

matchup for Will Warren

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Will Warren

matchup for Nick Fortes

240th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Moderate advantage for Fortes

Nick Fortes has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.8% higher than Fortes's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	23.4%	2.2%	5.2%	16.1%	8.9%	18.5%
Fortes	+1.8	0.0	0.0	+0.2	-0.2	+1.8	+2.7
Warren	-1.2	+1.5	-0.6	-0.2	+2.3	-2.7	-7.8

Nick Fortes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fortes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Nick Fortes has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% +3.0% 6%

Walk -4.2% +1.4% 34%

In Play +14.0% -4.3% 39%

On Base -3.2% -0.5% 31%

Hit +1.0% -1.8% 14%

Single +1.3% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -1.8% +1.6%

32.3% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +2.8% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +5.3% -2.8%

21.1% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.0% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.1% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.2% +2.1%

7.2% of Nick Fortes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%