Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Fortes

matchup for Ryan Weathers

287th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Nick Fortes

385th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Leans in favor of Fortes

Nick Fortes has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.3% lower than Fortes's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	23.0%	1.7%	5.3%	16.1%	6.3%	13.9%
Fortes	-1.3	-0.4	-0.5	+0.3	-0.2	-0.9	-1.9
Weathers	-0.6	+1.5	-0.4	-0.3	+2.1	-2.1	-10.8

Nick Fortes is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Fortes doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nick Fortes has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% -2.1% 6%

Walk -4.2% -0.6% 34%

In Play +14.0% +2.7% 39%

On Base -3.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit +1.0% +1.5% 14%

Single +1.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.8% -0.5%

32.3% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +5.3% +1.2%

21.1% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.1% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.2% +1.1%

7.2% of Nick Fortes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%