Matchup Machine

Nick Fortes

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matchup for Zack Littell

313th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Zack Littell

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matchup for Nick Fortes

396th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Fortes
0

Model Prediction

Nick Fortes has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 3.1% lower than Fortes's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Littell.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%23.2%2.3%5.7%15.2%4.3%13.5%
Fortes-3.1-0.3+0.1+0.7-1.1-2.8-2.3
Littell+0.0+1.4-0.6+0.4+1.6-1.4-10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Fortes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fortes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Nick Fortes has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
37%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -0.6% 6%         Walk -4.2% -3.4% 34%         In Play +14.0% +4.0% 39%         On Base -3.2% -1.9% 31%         Hit +1.0% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.3% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years