Matchup Machine

Nick Fortes

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

107th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Nick Fortes

260th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Fortes
4

Model Prediction

Nick Fortes has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 0.4% higher than Fortes's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%23.9%2.1%4.7%17.0%7.1%13.0%
Fortes+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.2+0.7+0.0-2.8
Chirinos-3.2+0.0-0.9-0.5+1.4-3.2-6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Fortes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fortes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Nick Fortes has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -7.8% 6%         Walk -4.2% -0.6% 34%         In Play +14.0% +8.3% 39%         On Base -3.2% +2.3% 31%         Hit +1.0% +2.9% 14%         Single +1.3% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years