Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Fortes

matchup for Jordan Lyles

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

Jordan Lyles

matchup for Nick Fortes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Fortes

Nick Fortes has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 1.6% higher than Fortes's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Lyles.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	24.6%	2.7%	5.8%	16.1%	7.6%	11.6%
Fortes	+1.6	+1.1	+0.5	+0.9	-0.2	+0.5	-4.2
Lyles	-1.5	+0.3	-0.7	0.0	+1.0	-1.9	-6.6

Nick Fortes is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fortes has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Nick Fortes has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

35%

Slider (R)

23%

Curve (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

10%

9% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

16% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Nick Fortes hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 16%

+12%

Medium Velo 21%

+10%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

Breaking (R) 40%

+9%

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% +0.8% 6%

Walk -4.2% -2.3% 34%

In Play +14.0% +1.5% 39%

On Base -3.2% -4.1% 31%

Hit +1.0% -1.7% 14%

Single +1.3% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.8% -0.1%

32.3% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles induces Standard Grounders at a 26.4% rate, which is 8.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.2% -8.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% +1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.8% 0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +2.6% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.1% +1.8% 3%

Pop up +5.3% +3.1%

21.1% of Nick Fortes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% -2.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.3% +1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.0% 0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.1% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.2% +0.6%

7.2% of Nick Fortes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%