Matchup Machine

Nick Fortes

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matchup for Martin Perez

156th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Nick Fortes

103rd out of 567 (Best 19%)

Strong advantage for Fortes
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Model Prediction

Nick Fortes has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.6% higher than Fortes's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%25.6%2.7%5.3%17.6%6.6%11.5%
Fortes+1.6+2.1+0.5+0.3+1.3-0.5-4.3
Perez-2.5+0.3-0.40.0+0.7-2.7-6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Fortes is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fortes doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Nick Fortes hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Nick Fortes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% -6.1% 6%         Walk -4.2% -0.3% 34%         In Play +14.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base -3.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit +1.0% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.3% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.8% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years