Cal Raleigh has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.9% lower than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 28.1% | 21.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 38.0% |
Raleigh | -3.9 | +0.2 | 0.0 | +0.6 | -0.4 | -4.1 | +10.2 |
Crochet | +0.7 | +0.3 | +1.8 | +0.2 | -1.7 | +0.3 | +2.7 |
Cal Raleigh is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Raleigh has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers
15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Cal Raleigh has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.64 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.320 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-28 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
2024-07-28 | Home Run | 44% | 19% | 36% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.