Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

342nd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

491st out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
3

Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.9% lower than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%21.3%4.3%5.3%11.8%6.8%38.0%
Raleigh-3.9+0.20.0+0.6-0.4-4.1+10.2
Crochet+0.7+0.3+1.8+0.2-1.7+0.3+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Raleigh has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% +9.4% 3%         Walk +3.3% -1.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -0.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% -2.5% 14%         Single -3.5% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +3.3% +0.1%

History

Cal Raleigh has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →0.640.440.190.010.320
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-28Pop Out100%
2024-07-28Home Run44%19%36%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.