Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for G. Cleavinger

395th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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Garrett Cleavinger

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

172nd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Raleigh
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Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 2.1% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Cleavinger.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%21.9%4.6%5.2%12.0%12.2%27.7%
Raleigh+2.1+0.8+0.4+0.5-0.1+1.30.0
Cleavinger+1.2+0.4+2.2+0.8-2.6+0.8+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a D grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
41%
   4-Seam (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Sinker (L)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% +4.2% 3%         Walk +3.3% +3.9% 41%         In Play -4.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -0.1% +3.2% 31%         Hit -3.4% -0.7% 14%         Single -3.5% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +3.3% +0.3%

History

Cal Raleigh has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.690.000.310.380.344
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-27Single31%38%31%
2024-06-25Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.