Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

358th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

302nd out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Raleigh
4

Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.8% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%18.9%4.2%3.5%11.2%14.0%27.5%
Raleigh+0.8-2.2-0.1-1.1-1.0+3.1-0.2
Schmidt+0.9-0.7+1.8-0.5-2.0+1.6+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% +0.3% 3%         Walk +3.3% +1.6% 41%         In Play -4.3% -1.9% 39%         On Base -0.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit -3.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.3% 0.0%

History

Cal Raleigh has 7 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual771001300.143
Expected From Contact →1.550.020.550.980.221
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-19Single84%15%
2024-09-19Strikeout
2024-09-19Pop Out100%
2024-05-21Strikeout
2024-05-21Flyout2%54%3%42%
2023-05-31Groundout11%89%
2023-05-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.