Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for Logan Webb

300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

269th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Raleigh
5

Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.1% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.3%4.3%4.5%15.5%7.8%26.8%
Raleigh+0.1+3.2+0.0-0.1+3.3-3.1-1.0
Webb-0.1-0.4+1.9-0.6-1.7+0.3+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Cal Raleigh has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% -0.8% 3%         Walk +3.3% -2.4% 41%         In Play -4.3% +3.2% 39%         On Base -0.1% +1.6% 31%         Hit -3.4% +4.0% 14%         Single -3.5% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +3.3% -1.3%

History

Cal Raleigh has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-03Strikeout
2023-07-03Flyout100%
2023-07-03Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.