Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cal Raleigh

matchup for Seth Lugo

270th out of 436 (Worst 38%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Cal Raleigh

283rd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Raleigh

Cal Raleigh has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.6% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	21.6%	4.4%	4.2%	13.1%	11.0%	28.7%
Raleigh	+0.6	+0.5	+0.1	-0.5	+0.9	+0.1	+1.0
Lugo	+0.2	-2.3	+1.2	-0.7	-2.8	+2.5	+3.9

Cal Raleigh is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +0.8% 3%

Walk +3.3% -2.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base -0.1% -0.4% 31%

Hit -3.4% +1.9% 14%

Single -3.5% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -3.1% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +3.3% +0.1%

24.6% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.9% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.8% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +3.5% -2.2%

27.2% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.9% -1.6%

13.9% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%