Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cal Raleigh

matchup for Aaron Nola

256th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Cal Raleigh

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Nola

Cal Raleigh has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.1% lower than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.9%	21.2%	4.3%	6.1%	10.8%	7.7%	34.8%
Raleigh	-3.1	+0.1	0.0	+1.5	-1.4	-3.2	+7.0
Nola	-0.6	-1.2	+1.3	-0.1	-2.4	+0.6	+3.9

Cal Raleigh is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Raleigh has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Cal Raleigh hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.0% +6.3% 3%

Walk +3.3% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.1% -4.8% 31%

Hit -3.4% -2.0% 14%

Single -3.5% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +3.3% -0.5%

24.6% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.8% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.9% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.9% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.8% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +3.5% -0.7%

27.2% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.9% -0.7%

13.9% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%