Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

108th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Raleigh
9

Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.0% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%21.5%4.4%5.4%11.7%14.6%24.3%
Raleigh+4.0+0.3+0.1+0.7-0.4+3.7-3.5
Anderson+2.3-0.8+1.5+0.1-2.4+3.1+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% -1.9% 3%         Walk +3.3% -1.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -3.4% +0.9% 14%         Single -3.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +3.3% -0.2%

History

Cal Raleigh has 11 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11102101310.200
Expected From Contact →2.570.980.650.940.257
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-31Forceout2%98%
2024-08-31Flyout100%
2024-08-31Strikeout
2024-07-22Walk
2024-07-22Single1%82%17%
2024-07-22Lineout62%9%29%
2024-07-12Flyout100%
2024-07-12Flyout98%
2024-07-12Home Run98%1%
2023-08-05Strikeout
2023-08-05Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.