Matchup Machine

Cal Raleigh

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matchup for Martin Perez

383rd out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Cal Raleigh

76th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Raleigh
10

Model Prediction

Cal Raleigh has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.4% higher than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%24.2%4.8%5.4%14.0%11.3%20.6%
Raleigh+3.4+3.1+0.5+0.7+1.9+0.4-7.2
Perez+0.8-1.1+1.7+0.0-2.9+2.0+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Cal Raleigh is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Raleigh has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Cal Raleigh hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.2% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.0% -6.1% 3%         Walk +3.3% -0.3% 41%         In Play -4.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.1% +5.9% 31%         Hit -3.4% +6.3% 14%         Single -3.5% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +3.3% -0.6%

History

Cal Raleigh has 4 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual420000120.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-01Strikeout
2023-09-24Walk
2022-07-14Walk
2022-07-14Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.