Matchup Machine

Joey Bart

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matchup for Jared Jones

74th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Joey Bart

474th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Joey Bart has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.8% lower than Bart's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%19.1%2.7%4.4%12.0%9.5%36.9%
Bart-2.8-2.90.0-0.8-2.1+0.1+7.8
Jones-2.4-1.7-0.2-0.7-0.8-0.7+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Bart is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bart has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Joey Bart has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Joey Bart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.0% +0.6% 40%         In Play -1.6% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years