Matchup Machine

Joey Bart

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

269th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Joey Bart

321st out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
1

Model Prediction

Joey Bart has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.4% lower than Bart's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%22.0%2.4%6.8%12.8%8.0%28.5%
Bart-1.40.0-0.4+1.7-1.3-1.4-0.7
Weathers+0.1+0.5+0.3+1.3-1.1-0.3+3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Bart is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bart doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Joey Bart has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Joey Bart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -0.6% 40%         In Play -1.6% +2.7% 39%         On Base +1.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit +2.3% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years