Matchup Machine

Joey Bart

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

265th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Joey Bart

274th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Bart
1

Model Prediction

Joey Bart has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.8% higher than Bart's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%19.3%2.3%4.1%12.8%14.0%27.7%
Bart+1.8-2.7-0.4-1.0-1.3+4.6-1.5
Schmidt+1.3-0.3-0.1+0.1-0.3+1.6+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Bart is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bart has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Joey Bart has a B- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Joey Bart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% +0.3% 5%         Walk -1.0% +1.6% 40%         In Play -1.6% -1.9% 39%         On Base +1.3% -0.3% 31%         Hit +2.3% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.1% 0.0%

History

Joey Bart has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.710.000.390.330.357
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-29Strikeout
2024-09-29Single39%33%29%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.