Matchup Machine

Joey Bart

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Joey Bart

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Alcantara
5

Model Prediction

Joey Bart has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 2.2% lower than Bart's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%21.1%2.3%4.3%14.6%7.6%31.7%
Bart-2.2-0.7-0.4-1.0+0.7-1.5+1.9
Alcantara-1.4-0.9+0.1-0.1-0.9-0.5+5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Bart is worse vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bart has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Joey Bart has an F grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

16.2% of Joey Bart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.6% +2.6% 5%         Walk -1.5% -0.7% 40%         In Play -1.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.4% -4.4% 31%         Hit +1.8% -3.7% 14%         Single +0.3% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.4%

History

Joey Bart has 6 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual642101020.500
Expected From Contact →1.370.990.010.370.342
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Groundout
2025-03-27Groundout
2022-06-02Walk
2022-06-02Single37%63%
2022-04-08Home Run99%
2022-04-08Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.