Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for Jared Jones

426th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Jonathan India

217th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Extreme advantage for India
9

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 39.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.8% higher than India's typical expectations, and 8.0% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.1%21.8%3.0%4.9%13.8%17.3%22.1%
India+1.8-0.6+0.2+0.4-1.2+2.5+2.2
Jones+8.0+1.0+0.1-0.1+1.0+7.0-6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. India has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +0.4% 2%         Walk +5.2% +0.6% 39%         In Play +0.4% -1.1% 39%         On Base +6.0% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.8% -0.8% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.9%

History

Jonathan India has 3 plate appearances against Jared Jones in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.020.030.017
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-21Flyout99%
2024-09-21Fielders Choice Out1%3%96%
2024-09-21Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.