Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

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matchup for Bryce Miller

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Jonathan India

493rd out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for India
4

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.5% lower than India's typical expectations, and 5.5% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%21.3%2.2%4.3%14.8%13.4%24.1%
India-2.5-1.1-0.6-0.2-0.3-1.4+4.2
Miller+5.5+0.8-0.1-0.1+1.0+4.7-5.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. India has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +0.2% 2%         Walk +5.2% -2.5% 39%         In Play +0.4% +2.3% 39%         On Base +6.0% -3.2% 31%         Hit +0.8% -0.7% 14%         Single +0.0% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.5%

History

Jonathan India has 3 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-17Strikeout
2024-04-17Strikeout
2024-04-17Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.