Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

sometext

matchup for C. Hernandez

416th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

sometext

Carlos Hernandez

sometext

matchup for Jonathan India

222nd out of 567 (Best 40%)

Extreme advantage for India
9

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 38.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.2% higher than India's typical expectations, and 6.2% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.4%20.4%3.1%4.8%12.5%18.0%19.6%
India+1.2-2.0+0.3+0.3-2.6+3.2-0.3
Hernandez+6.2-1.1+0.0-1.0-0.1+7.3-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. India has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -1.8% 2%         Walk +5.2% +2.0% 39%         In Play +0.4% -0.2% 39%         On Base +6.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.8% -1.1% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.6%

History

Jonathan India has 1 plate appearance against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.170.000.000.170.174
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-12Fielders Choice17%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.