Matchup Machine

Jonathan India

sometext

matchup for Jake Irvin

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

sometext

Jake Irvin

sometext

matchup for Jonathan India

150th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Extreme advantage for India
10

Model Prediction

Jonathan India has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 1.3% higher than India's typical expectations, and 4.6% higher than batters facing Irvin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.5%24.1%3.1%5.1%15.9%14.4%15.6%
India+1.3+1.7+0.3+0.5+0.9-0.4-4.3
Irvin+4.6-0.40.0-0.4+0.0+4.9-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. India has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Curve (R)
31%
   Sinker (R)
26%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -4.3% 2%         Walk +5.2% -0.5% 39%         In Play +0.4% +4.8% 39%         On Base +6.0% +1.3% 31%         Hit +0.8% +1.9% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +1.1%

History

Jonathan India has 9 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual991001100.111
Expected From Contact →2.190.020.271.890.243
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Groundout2%98%
2024-07-21Strikeout
2024-07-21Single88%11%
2024-03-31Lineout32%68%
2024-03-31Groundout2%98%
2024-03-31Groundout
2023-07-03Lineout3%37%61%
2023-07-03Groundout28%72%
2023-07-03Flyout2%23%1%73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.