Jonathan India has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 1.3% higher than India's typical expectations, and 4.6% higher than batters facing Irvin.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 38.5% | 24.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 15.6% |
India | +1.3 | +1.7 | +0.3 | +0.5 | +0.9 | -0.4 | -4.3 |
Irvin | +4.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -0.4 | +0.0 | +4.9 | -4.4 |
Jonathan India is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. India has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jonathan India has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
11.3% of Jonathan India's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jonathan India has 9 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.111 |
Expected From Contact → | 2.19 | 0.02 | 0.27 | 1.89 | 0.243 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-21 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
2024-07-21 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-07-21 | Single | 88% | 11% | ||
2024-03-31 | Lineout | 32% | 68% | ||
2024-03-31 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
2024-03-31 | Groundout | ||||
2023-07-03 | Lineout | 3% | 37% | 61% | |
2023-07-03 | Groundout | 28% | 72% | ||
2023-07-03 | Flyout | 2% | 23% | 1% | 73% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.